Our new data collection tracks the spread of COVID-19 in 65 cities and counties across the United States, and it lets us see how fatality rates vary widely across geographies.
Cases Still Rising, Hospitalizations Spiking, Nursing Homes in Trouble: This Week in COVID-19 Data, Nov 5
COVID-19 is surging in large midwestern states while continuing to burn through heavily rural states in the Mountain West. Testing growth has slowed, and new outbreaks are rising in long-term care facilities. Nationally, deaths are up 8 percent, and on Wednesday the United States broke 100,000 new cases a day.
Unlike the spring and summer outbreaks, the third surge is geographically dispersed, and counts are up in every region of the country. An increase in testing is not sufficient to explain the numbers.
As COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations once again rise across the United States so, inevitably, will deaths. But there is reason to hope that we will not see the devastating fatality rates of the initial spring surge.
Florida is now publishing a full time series of test encounters, so we are picking up this metric in our API and on our website.
As COVID-19 cases rise across the United States, claims are circulating that case increases are (mostly or entirely) due to expanded testing, and do not indicate a spike in infections. The data does not support this conclusion.